Vermont
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 82.4470Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 6, 79.6) 21-10 214 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 2, 88.3) 10-17 217 H Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 73.1) 8- 5 221 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 77.6) 14- 9 225 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 7- 6, 81.1) 10-12 228 H LIU Northeast ( 7- 5, 74.6) 22- 7 306 H Villanova Big East ( 8- 4, 86.5) 12-14 311 H Fairfield Metro Atlanti (10- 3, 83.9) 2-10 314 A Bryant America East ( 8- 5, 81.9) 7- 8 320 H UMBC America East ( 6- 5, 81.7) 12- 8 328 A New Hampshire America East ( 4- 8, 75.8) 15- 4 401 A Brown Ivy League ( 6- 5, 88.2) 5-16 411 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 7, 80.5) 418 H Albany America East ( 9- 4, 85.0) 425 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 8, 78.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A UNC-Charlotte 21-10 11 2 +++ 9.36
214 A Massachusetts 10-17 -7 -7 0.07
217 H Iona 8- 5 3 11 --- -7.53
221 H Marist 14- 9 5 6 -1.07
225 A Siena 10-12 -2 0 - -2.08
228 H LIU 22- 7 15 9 ++ 4.92
306 H Villanova 12-14 -2 -3 0.88
311 H Fairfield 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.81
314 A Bryant 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.34
320 H UMBC 12- 8 4 2 + 2.00
328 A New Hampshire 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.60
401 A Brown 5-16 -11 -7 - -3.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Iona 8- 5 3 11 --- -7.53 311 H Fairfield 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.81 225 A Siena 10-12 -2 0 - -2.08 401 A Brown 5-16 -11 -7 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A UNC-Charlotte 21-10 11 2 +++ 9.36 228 H LIU 22- 7 15 9 ++ 4.92 328 A New Hampshire 15- 4 11 5 ++ 5.60 320 H UMBC 12- 8 4 2 + 2.00 |
Vermont Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Albany | Albany | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Albany | |
| American | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Austin Peay | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Binghamton | Vermont | Vermont 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Boston University | |
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | Bryant | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bucknell | |
| Butler | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | California | |
| Campbell | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Canisius | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Vermont | |
| Central Connecticut | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Central Michigan | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Cincinnati | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Colgate | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Columbia | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Dartmouth | |
| Davidson | Davidson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Davidson | |
| Delaware | Delaware | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Delaware | |
| Delaware State | Vermont | Vermont 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Elon | Elon | Elon | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Vermont | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Furman | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Gardner Webb | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| George Mason | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| George Washington | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| High Point | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Hofstra | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Holy Cross | |
| Howard (DC) | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Iona | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | James Madison | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Kent State | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| La Salle | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Lafayette | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Le Moyne | Vermont | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Lehigh | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Liberty | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Lindenwood | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| LIU | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Longwood | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Vermont | |
| Marist | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marquette | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Vermont | |
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Merrimack | Vermont | Vermont 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Mount St Marys | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Vermont | |
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| New Haven | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Niagara | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Vermont | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Oregon | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Quinnipiac | Vermont | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Vermont | |
| Radford | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Rhode Island | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Vermont | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Vermont | |
| Robert Morris | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Vermont | |
| San Diego State | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Southern California | Southern California | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| St Bonaventure | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Josephs (PA) | |
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Stonehill | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Vermont | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| UC Davis | UC Davis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UC Davis | |
| UMBC | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| VCU | VCU | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | VCU | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Vermont | |
| William & Mary | Vermont | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Winthrop | Vermont | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Vermont | |
| Wofford | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Xavier | Vermont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vermont | |
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Vermont | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Vermont |
PowerWise = 67
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 6, 79.6) 21-10 -20.31 20.40 1.22 1.04 44.85
0 A Massachusetts (10- 2, 88.3) 10-17 -11.60 29.10 1.22 1.04 -5.39
0 H Iona ( 3-10, 73.1) 8- 5 -26.77 13.94 -1.22 1.04 26.40
0 H Marist ( 4- 9, 77.6) 14- 9 -22.30 18.40 -1.22 1.04 35.66
0 A Siena ( 7- 6, 81.1) 10-12 -18.75 21.95 1.22 1.04 -9.10
0 H LIU ( 7- 5, 74.6) 22- 7 -25.32 15.39 -1.22 1.04 29.41
0 H Villanova ( 8- 4, 86.5) 12-14 -13.36 27.35 -1.22 1.04 -7.56
0 H Fairfield (10- 3, 83.9) 2-10 -16.05 24.66 -1.22 1.04 -8.96
0 A Bryant ( 8- 5, 81.9) 7- 8 -18.01 22.70 1.22 1.04 -8.71
0 H UMBC ( 6- 5, 81.7) 12- 8 -18.23 22.47 -1.22 1.04 44.11
0 A New Hampshire ( 4- 8, 75.8) 15- 4 -24.07 16.64 1.22 1.04 37.05
0 A Brown ( 6- 5, 88.2) 5-16 -11.66 29.05 1.22 1.04 -5.42
------
172.34
|
winning pts = 217.4773 losing points = -45.1331
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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